Management of operation of Amirkabir Dam water using System Dynamics and Nonlinear Planning Method

Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Bualisina University of Hamedan

Abstract

Water resource management is nowadays considered as one of the most prominent challenges facing mankind in the current century it could become the origin of many either positive or negative changes throughout the world. The challenge of water resources in the Middle-East countries is of  a more serious concern. The limitations of available water resources and the recent droughts in countries like Iran indicate that Iran is facing a serious and protracted water crisis. Here a key decisive requirement would be a suitable water resource management strategy. In this research, an integrated method of system dynamic approach, classical nonlinear optimization, as well as Box–Jenkins Linear prediction model is proposed for the proper management of dam operations. First, the monthly operation of the reservoir was simulated based upon their storage and outflow characteristics through VENSIM software. Then, the volume of inflow and also evaporation losses from the reservoir were predicted from 2014 to 2018 by use of Box and Jenkins method. Finally the reservoir operations were optimized through LINGO software and classical nonlinear method. The results indicated that in optimization conditions, scarcity and overflow values are adjusted by their division into different months. Hence, probable damages can most probably be prevented.

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References

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Iranian Journal of Soil and Water Research
Volume 48, Issue 2
August 2017
Pages 335-347

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