Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
1 Ph.D Student of Water Structures, Dept. of Water Engineering, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran
2 Associated Professor, Dep. of Water Engineering, Faculty of Water and Soil, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Golestan.
3 Prof., Dept. of Water Engineering, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran.
4 Prof., Dept. of Water Engineering, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran
Abstract
Keywords
Main Subjects
Rivers serve as vital arteries of the Earth, playing a decisive role in maintaining ecological balance and the socio-economic development of human communities. Monitoring the morphological changes of rivers, especially those with an average width of less than 50 meters, has consistently faced challenges due to the spatial resolution limitations of satellite imagery. These changes can pose significant threats to critical infrastructure such as bridges, power and gas transmission lines, roads, and urban facilities. This research aimed to provide a precise algorithm for river extraction and analysis of the morphological changes in four meanders of the Atrak River, within the vicinity of Kurand and Hoton villages in Golestan Province, over a five-year period (2016-2021). This was achieved through the integration of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery and machine learning models.
In this study, two satellite images from the dry season (July 2016 and August 2021) were utilized to minimize the effects of cloud cover and riparian vegetation. Following image pre-processing, the performance of two machine learning methods—the supervised classification Support Vector Machine (SVM) and the unsupervised K-means clustering—was evaluated. The hyperparameters of the SVM model were tuned using a Bayesian optimization algorithm. Spectral indices, including the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI), and Automated Water Extraction Index (AWEIsh), along with the spectral bands, were used to train the models. The accuracy of the SVM model was assessed using the Kappa coefficient and Intersection over Union (IoU) metrics. The river centerlines for both methods were extracted using QGIS software, and their accuracy was evaluated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), length difference percentage, and spatialagreement (within a 10-meter buffer zone). Finally, the centerline extracted by the superior selected model (SVM) was used to calculate geomorphological parameters and the meander migration rate.
The accuracy assessment results clearly demonstrated the superiority of the SVM method. For this method, the overall accuracy, Kappa coefficient, and IoU for the years 2016 and 2021 were calculated as 96.7%, 0.9333, 0.9354, and 95%, 0.9, 0.9045, respectively. Furthermore, the RMSE of the SVM method (3.82 m and 3.35 m for 2016 and 2021, respectively) was significantly lower than that of the K-means method (5.11 m and 4.58 m, respectively). The analysis of morphological changes revealed a very high and variable migration rate across the different meanders. The highest migration rate was calculated for Meander 1, equivalent to 39.7 meters per year. The dominant pattern of these changes was identified as rotation and expansion.
This study conclusively demonstrates that the integration of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery with a machine learning framework, constitutes a highly effective methodology for monitoring planform dynamics in narrow rivers. The superior performance of the developed model successfully addresses the persistent challenge of spatial resolution limitations for accurately mapping fluvial systems with widths below 50 meters. The research quantified significant morphological instability and variable migration patterns along the studied reach, revealing a highly dynamic fluvial environment.
Conceptualization, A.Z., and A.A.D.; methodology A.Z., KH.GH. and M.M.H.; software, M.M.H.; validation, A.Z., M.M.H. and KH.GH.; formal analysis, A.Z. and A.A.D.; investigation, A.A.D.; resources, M.M.H.; data curation, A.Z.; writing—original draft preparation, M.M.H.; writing—review and editing, A.Z.; visualization, KH.GH.; supervision, A.Z. and A.A.D.; project administration, A.Z. and A.A.D.; funding acquisition, A.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Data available on request from the authors.
The authors extend their gratitude to Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources for its support. The data for this study were partially provided by the Regional Water Company of Golstan (Official Letter No. 36/1404/698).
The authors confirm that the study was conducted in accordance with ethical principles, and no data fabrication, falsification, plagiarism, or misconduct occurred.
The author declares no conflict of interest.